A future-oriented perspective on the reality and prospects of the olive sector in achieving sustainable development: A field study of the Bani Walid region

Abstract

Olive cultivation in Libya represents a promising strategic pillar for diversifying the national economy's production base, supporting livelihoods in rural areas, and playing a pivotal role in enhancing food security. This study aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the current state of the olive sector, focusing on available opportunities and the structural challenges (environmental, institutional, and economic) that limit its efficiency. Ultimately, it seeks to anticipate future trajectories and propose policy recommendations for its development. The study employed a descriptive-analytical (qualitative) approach, utilizing semi-structured interviews as the primary data collection tool. The study targeted a group of farmers and specialists in the olive sector in the Bani Walid region. This region was selected due to the importance of the olive sector there as a potential contributor to local economic development, provided that the sector's resources are optimally utilized.

Through the analysis of interviews and a review of previous literature, the study reached several key conclusions, most notably that the near-total dependence on a rentier economy (oil) has distorted economic policies, leading to the marginalization of alternative productive sectors and the absence of a clear roadmap for the olive sector. The findings also revealed a significant gap in value chains and a weakness in competitiveness stemming from a shortage of skilled labor and a reliance on short-term support rather than long-term strategies. The study recommends adopting an integrated development model that links agricultural production with processing industries to achieve sustainable added value for the Libyan economy.